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Week of December 3rd

Writer's picture: Justin CarawayJustin Caraway

Last week was more of the same as tech stalled out - painting a weekly doji candle after rejecting the Weekly CE of the January highs FVG (again).




Last week also saw them pumping small caps and especially the DJI to 52 week highs - but its all the same setup as we see on NDX




The 3 horsemen looks ready to gallop higher, but we need VIX to get off its ass first hovering down here near LOY.



And Gold got a nATH close on the monthly chart for November - but to me this just smells like They are gunning for the highs to sell into





The Plan: No change from my perch - basically every asset class from meme stocks, to $ARKK, to indexes all soared higher in November right into a logical are of sell-side liquidity. The real proof of the pudding will be to be watching the 4h and 15min timeframes to see if we can see a honest reversal or not. NQ needs to defend 15k for bulls to have a fighting chance at all. We should have a clearer picture by the EOW - NFP is on Friday.



December will be VERY important. Everything looks insanely toppy, while the 3 horsemen look like they are trying to bottom. Tech is the weakest of the indexes and it tends to lead - buckle up for a wild Christmas season!

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Justin Caraway
Justin Caraway
05 thg 12, 2023

One thing I got TOTALLY WRONG here - I wasn't using the FRONT MONTH for my weekly chart - which changes things in the short term.



The /NQZ weekly lows were blown out into the CE of a FVG - we could start a parabolic rally to 16265 from here. I am hedged for upside risk, but I would not be surprised to see us run that weekly 16265 level before they tank it.


Thích
Justin Caraway
Justin Caraway
05 thg 12, 2023
Phản hồi lại

We need to spike that level by Dec 15th - as we will roll to the March Contract and its already swept old highs last week for ERL


Thích
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